Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 4.885480 5.489187 6.147869 6.921423 7.806942 8.791208 9.971177
2025-01-05 3.978182 4.772405 5.705466 6.888438 8.356590 10.129454 12.448462
2025-01-12 3.389353 4.268227 5.359350 6.825466 8.761961 11.257289 14.756724
2025-01-19 2.842891 3.715861 4.846834 6.437064 8.643574 11.638745 16.083983
2025-01-26 2.572018 3.474683 4.689402 6.468666 9.050690 12.727545 18.480428
2025-02-02 2.412675 3.358613 4.676442 6.680780 9.713204 14.230070 21.661036
2025-02-09 2.253917 3.221907 4.612597 6.800274 10.237066 15.570574 24.760857
2025-02-16 2.109357 3.088471 4.535009 6.881851 10.698995 16.853239 27.929697
2025-02-23 1.981922 2.966641 4.459495 6.951974 11.140067 18.140196 31.273337
2025-03-02 1.811110 2.762146 4.235918 6.757687 11.115398 18.630394 33.251550
2025-03-09 1.685256 2.617121 4.092246 6.677500 11.269469 19.436945 35.913846
2025-03-16 1.571528 2.481987 3.952168 6.587376 11.391283 20.190547 38.569609
2025-03-23 1.530537 2.465209 4.009988 6.853133 12.197917 22.336779 44.417137
2025-03-30 1.444487 2.366141 3.920170 6.846550 12.497018 23.549930 48.527116
2025-04-06 1.358503 2.260334 3.809474 6.789712 12.690753 24.573974 52.391042
2025-04-13 1.230186 2.071509 3.537514 6.404781 12.194023 24.119314 52.819161
2025-04-20 1.174973 2.008140 3.485944 6.436464 12.541362 25.481318 57.738309
2025-04-27 1.148958 1.995110 3.524789 6.647442 13.282049 27.789728 65.381480
2025-05-04 1.112250 1.959607 3.518419 6.766273 13.838374 29.758300 72.537636
2025-05-11 1.073337 1.917102 3.495104 6.847392 14.319910 31.616812 79.762452
2025-05-18 1.035735 1.874382 3.467871 6.917119 14.782590 33.491519 87.404360
2025-05-25 0.971337 1.775935 3.323792 6.723931 14.617650 33.803270 90.640869
2025-06-01 0.924010 1.707780 3.235479 6.644197 14.710560 34.774317 96.014095